By Alejandro A. Tagliavini *
The cosmos is ordered. The sun comes out every day at a predetermined time, it rains regularly providing water to the plants which grow and feed the animals so that they can develop themselves. Thus, nature has an order directed to the development of life and man cannot avoid it or change it, cannot even hide the sun when the heat is unbearable.
You can only study its secrets and use them to enhance your life, as when you discover how to fly to travel farther. But pride reaches the point where there are people who think they can change the development of nature. The politicians, by case, with their «laws», coercively imposed via the monopoly of state violence, want to divert the natural, spontaneous development of the cosmos towards life.
As Aristotle pointed out, violence is precisely what is extrinsic to the natural order that hinders its spontaneous course. Like when a thief keeps the money of a person who would not give it to him naturally. And so, it destroys because it prevents the spontaneous development of life. Like governments when they charge taxes, that people did not intend to pay, creating poverty because companies, for example, pay those by lowering wages or raising prices.
Julius Probst, historian at the University of Lund, based on the book «Factfukness» by Hans Rosling, says that according to the empirical evidence the world improves. And tells the truth since it is evident that the cosmos progresses, by itself, despite the fear that leads us – as a primary reaction – to be violent, such as by asking for repression for the criminals that frighten us, instead of proposing a realistic solution to crime.
Probst says that, during the Industrial Revolution, the average life expectancy in Europe was 35 years due to diseases that were incurable, among other things. Today, is over 80 years old. USA and Europe grew around 2% annually during the last 150 years, so personal income doubled every 36 years. China and India have been growing during the last decades at a higher rate.
Every day, continues Probst, some 200,000 people in the world come out of poverty. Today «half of the world population can be considered middle class». And there are fewer and fewer conflicts. «… the first half of the twentieth century was especially bloody, with two world wars … (but now) for the first time in history there have been no wars or conflicts in Western Europe during the last three generations,» summarizes Probst.
Now, as his study claims to be only empirical -without proposing a coherent thesis to explain it- he makes some errors in the description of reality. To begin with, he assures that the birth rate is falling, and he supposes that to be good. According to the UN, the world population will stabilize at around 11,000 million at the end of the 21st century.
But the projection of the UN is not credible, and the implicit theory is incoherent. Progress is measured in improvement -development- of life, so it is contradictory to affirm that this development entails a «stabilization» in life. And, of course, there is nothing to worry about, because the planet produces more food than necessary and production increases, according to the FAO. Hunger is due to problems of distribution created, precisely, by politicians and their unnatural obstacles to trade and transport.
* Member of the Advisory Board of the Center on Global Prosperity, Oakland, California